Essential Questions for Postsecondary Completion: Postsecondary Persistence

Postsecondary Completion Playbook: Chapter 6

Overview

Overview

Postsecondary completion is a key gateway to opportunity. Enrollment opens the door, but finishing the path — whether through a two- or four-year degree, career and technical education, or an apprenticeship — is what unlocks economic mobility and long-term stability. Communities can make a difference by ensuring students have strong support networks, access to financial aid and pathways that lead to meaningful careers.

This is part 6 of StriveTogether’s Cradle-to-Career Outcomes Playbook: Postsecondary Completion. The playbook synthesizes research and practical guidance communities can use to improve postsecondary completion.

Postsecondary persistence refers to a student’s continued enrollment in a college, university or other postsecondary pathway from one academic term to the next. Persistence matters because it strongly predicts whether a student will ultimately complete a degree or credential, which is linked to greater career opportunities, economic mobility and long-term stability.

Question 4

Question 4: Are students experiencing sufficient early momentum in postsecondary education to be on track for on-time completion?

Why it matters

First-year credit accumulation: Research points to the importance of early accumulation of credits as a means of creating momentum toward degree completion. Research on students in both two-year and four-year institutions indicates that earning fewer than a particular number of college-level credits in the first year (typically, 20 to 30) is negatively related to completion. Accumulating additional credits during summer terms is associated with increasing the likelihood of degree completion. This may reflect an impact of summer school attendance or the fact that summer provides an opportunity for students to make up for low credits in an earlier term or to retake failed courses. There are also patterns of enrollment that make it difficult to accumulate credits, most notably part-time attendance and stopping out, both of which are consistently found to reduce the likelihood of retention and degree completion. These momentum metrics matter even more for students historically underserved by higher education. Research shows that students of color and first-generation students are more likely to experience structural barriers — such as part-time status, unclear pathways and late advising — that stall progress early (Advancing by Degrees). 

Guided Pathways and Meta-Majors: A growing body of evidence reveals that a central factor in low completion rates for community college students is the “cafeteria” style approach to college, which provides entering students with a dizzying array of choices and little guidance on navigating those choices. Without structured guidance, community college students often make course choices that delay or derail completion. Meta-majors and guided pathways simplify decisions, align courses with goals and help students stay on track. Designed with the end (college completion) in mind and using student’s interests as a starting point, meta-majors provide structure and narrow choices to support student success (Jobs for the Future, Meta-Majors).

Gateway Course Completion: Research in both two-year and four-year colleges points to the importance of enrolling in and completing college-level math early in a student’s college career. Some studies also suggest that early completion of science courses can serve as an indicator of likely success. The importance of college-level English courses as an indicator is not as clear: Some studies find a positive relationship between completing college-level English early and degree completion; other studies show no effect (Advancing by Degrees).

Academic performance: Academic performance in college, usually measured as GPA, provides an important indicator of progress. Studies find substantial increases in the chance of retention and degree completion with every one-grade increase in college GPA, after controlling for high school preparation and other factors. Other research has emphasized the importance of the trend in a student’s GPA. Students with rising GPAs over some number of terms are more likely to earn a degree than students with GPAs that either remain constant or decline over time (Advancing by Degrees).

Excessive course withdrawal: Studies also have found that students who withdraw from a substantial share of courses (with common measures being 10% or 20%) reduce their chances of degree completion. This holds true for students in two-year and four-year institutions alike. And in community colleges, research on the impact of registering late for classes has generally concluded that late registrants have higher course-withdrawal rates, lower grade-point averages (GPA) and lower retention rates (Advancing by Degrees).

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

First-year credit accumulation

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Gateway course completion

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

First-year program of study concentration

Question 5

Question 5: Do students have access to adequate support to enable them to succeed academically and in the workforce?

Why it matters

To succeed academically and complete a postsecondary degree or work-based credential, students need a combination of academic, career and financial support. Research from the Community College Research Center at Columbia University and Institute for College Access & Success highlights that strong academic and career advising helps students choose the right programs, stay on track and connect learning to future goals. Equally important is support with financial and basic needs — including access to affordable housing, transportation, childcare and part-time jobs — which reduce non-academic barriers that often derail progress. When these supports are integrated and accessible, especially for low-income and first-generation students, completion rates rise significantly.

Access to college and career advising: Effective college and career advising helps students navigate complex postsecondary pathways and persist to degree completion. Research from the National Postsecondary Strategy Institute and Harvard’s Center for Education Policy Research shows that well-designed advising — particularly when it includes personalized guidance, goal-setting and support with financial aid and course planning — significantly increases enrollment, retention and graduation rates. Students who receive strong advising are more likely to choose programs that fit their goals, stay on track academically and complete credentials that lead to meaningful careers and economic mobility.

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Access to college and career advising

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Health insurance coverage (including mental health care coverage)

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Food security

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Access to affordable housing

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Access to technology

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Access to transportation

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Access to child care subsidies

Question 6

Question 6: Are students attending institutions (either 2-year colleges, 4-year colleges or career training) offering quality pathways that lead to employment in quality jobs?

Why it matters

In-demand CTE pathways: Recent studies of CTE offerings indicate that CTE programs are frequently misaligned with projected job openings in local regions. For example, one study of CTE programs in high schools in West Virginia found that only about half of the state’s CTE programs were aligned to at least one occupation in high demand among employers in the region. An earlier study in Tennessee found that only 18% of graduates concentrated in program areas aligned to high-demand occupations. Research shows that the benefits of CTE vary widely across fields, with certain high-demand fields such as health yielding greater economic returns to participants (Education to Workforce Framework).

Access to internships: Access to internships during the transition from high school to postsecondary education is instrumental in shaping students’ academic and career trajectories. Internships provide real-world experience, allowing students to explore potential career paths and gain practical skills that enhance college applications and future employment prospects. Additionally, internships help students develop soft skills such as communication and time management, which are essential for success in both academic and professional settings. By engaging in internships, students build professional networks and gain insights into workplace cultures, better preparing them for the demands of postsecondary education and beyond. 

Apprenticeships: Most registered apprenticeship programs do not cost students money and in fact, they usually pay the student (called an apprentice) a wage while they learn, making apprenticeships an attractive path for young people with a clear career interest and a desire to earn income right after high school. Apprenticeships typically combine on-the-job training with classroom instruction or “related technical instruction”. At completion, apprentices typically earn a nationally recognized credential and often industry certifications. Apprenticeships are most common in skilled trades (electrician, plumbing, HVAC), health care, IT, advanced manufacturing, etc.

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

CTE pathway concentration

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Access to in-demand CTE pathways

Contributing factor

Work-based learning for specific youth populations

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Expenditures on workforce development programs

Question 7

Question 7: Do students attend postsecondary institutions that provide adequate financial aid and that are adequately funded to offer a quality educational experience?

Why it matters

Adequate financial aid: Adequate financial aid is essential for student success, particularly for those from low-income households, as it reduces the need to work excessive hours, lowers debt burden and increases the likelihood of staying enrolled through graduation. Research from the Urban Institute and National College Attainment Network shows that when financial aid covers a greater share of total college costs — including tuition, housing and basic needs — students are more likely to persist and earn a credential. Equally important, institutions must be adequately funded to provide the advising, mental health services, academic support and career preparation students need. According to the Century Foundation, underfunded institutions — especially public and community colleges — struggle to offer these services, leading to lower completion rates and widened equity gaps. Investing in both students and institutions is key to closing attainment gaps and ensuring postsecondary pathways deliver economic mobility.

Student loan repayment: Student loan default has serious negative consequences, including restricted access to other loans, increased repayment amounts due to collection costs and damaged credit. Among borrowers, loan delinquency and default disproportionately impact Black and Latine students. Within six years of starting college, 32% of Black borrowers who had begun repayment defaulted on their loans, compared to 20% of Latine borrowers and 13% of White borrowers. First-generation college students are also more than twice as likely to experience delinquency than students with at least one parent who has earned a bachelor’s degree (EW Framework).

Expenditures per student: School funding has been shown to contribute to better outcomes for students. In the postsecondary context, increases in per-student spending result in increased persistence and degree completion in both two- and four-year colleges. Increases in state appropriations for higher education spending also have been shown to result in increased educational attainment and shorter time to degree completion. In addition to instructional expenditures per student, increases in student service expenditures can also lead to increases in persistence and graduation rates, particularly for students from low-income households (EW Framework).

Unmet financial need: Higher levels of unmet financial need are likely to lead to more student loan debt or require students to work while enrolled in college, thus affecting their progression through college. In fact, students with more unmet need are less likely to graduate. At least in some states, it is the students with the lowest incomes who tend to have the highest levels of unmet financial need. In addition, Black students are less likely to receive nonfederal grant aid and receive lower average amounts than their peers. The Postsecondary Value Commission shows that Black students are, on average, burdened with approximately $8,300 in unmet financial need, whereas the average unmet need of White students is approximately $1,500 per year of attendance (EW Framework).

Cumulative student debt: Higher student loan debt is associated with decreased rates of home ownership and worse mental health outcomes. Compared to their peers, Black students take out loans more often than other racial and ethnic groups and have more debt on average. Though the amount of debt students accumulate during college is affected by student-level factors such as their expected family contribution (EFC), system-level factors such as the tuition and fees charged by institutions and the amount of grant aid made available to students are the largest contributors to rising student debt. Several factors, including the sector of the institution the student attended, the student’s grade point average (GPA) in college, whether the student attained a degree and their labor market outcomes, also predict the probability of loan default. In particular, students attending for-profit institutions, who tend to be Black at disproportionately high rates, are at especially high risk for loan default (EW Framework).

FAFSA completion: Students who report completing a FAFSA are more likely to enroll in college, enroll in a four-year rather than a two-year college and enroll full time rather than part time compared to students who do not complete an application. For example, students from low-income households who complete a FAFSA are 127% more likely to enroll in college in the fall after graduating high school than their peers who do not. One study found that, among students who applied and were admitted to college, there was a 29% difference in enrollment — 84% of students who were admitted and completed the FAFSA enrolled in a four-year college, compared with 55% enrollment by students who were admitted but did not complete the FAFSA (EW Framework).

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Student loan repayment

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Expenditures per student

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Unmet financial need

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

Cumulative student debt

Contributing factor | Key source: E-W Framework

FAFSA completion

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